Photometric Analysis of the McMinnville Photos
In the spring of 1975 I was able to locate, with the incidental
help of Mr. Klass, the original negatives. (They were in
the possession of Philip Bladine, the editor of the newspaper.)
Consequently, all density values given in this paper are
from those negatives. They were measured on a Joyce-Loeble
densitometer that was repeatedly calibrated with a Kodak standard
diffuse neutral density "wedge." Although many
areas of both photos have been scanned to establish consistency
between the exposures, etc., only the density values pertinent
to the range calculation will be listed here. These values
along with other pertinent photographic data are listed in Table
I. The analysis is based on Hartmann's method with the following
modifications:
(1) I have used an exposure curve relation for the negatives
based on a published D-LogE' curve for Verichrome film whereas,
Hartmann implicitly assumed "gamma" = 1 (Film "gamma"
relates exposure level or image density to illumination of the
film or image brightness. See illustrations labelled "TrntGamma6Curve.gif"
and TrntGAMACurves.gif.) Other possible film types
are Plus-X and Plus-XX, both Kodak films, but the exposure curves
of these are similar to that of Verichrome; measures of the fog
density suggest that only Plus-XX and Verichrome are compatible
with densities found in unexposed regions; Verichrome was the
least expensive, hence most likely to have been used; Verichrome
has low sensitivity to red light.);
(2) Since the negatives are pale (1,4), that is, the density
range starting from the fog level is not as large as expected
for a sunlit day, I have assumed that the negatives were slightly
underdeveloped and have, therefore, used an exposure curve for
gamma = 0.6, even though it was standard procedure to develop
to a gamma of about 1 (4);
(3) I have used a photographic formula to relate image illuminance
to object brightness;
(4) I have incorporated laboratory derived estimates of veiling
glare; and
(5) I have incorporated the brightness ratio of a shaded vertical
surface to a horizontal surface seen from below. The ratio
was obtained from field measurements. This brightness ratio
was ignored by both Sheaffer and Hartmann.
The first step in the analysis is to determine the relative illuminance
on the film plane which produced the image densities. Simple
photographic theory corrected for the effects of veiling glare
predicts that
E' = image illuminance = K(B + G) cos^4(A)
(1)
where K is a constant for a particular picture (and is assumed
to be the same for both photos here; this involves f-number and
shutter time), B is the brightness in the absence of glare of
the object being photographed, G is the amount of veiling glare
added to the image, cos^4 is the cosine raised to the fourth
power and A is the angle between the lens axis and the direction
to the object. Defining Ei = E'/[Kcos^4(A)], and substituting
the empirical exposure curve relation between measured image
densities and their causative illuminances, yields the total
image "brightness" given in Eq. 2 (see Table I). The
brightness in the absence of glare is then found by subtracting
the glare on the image, as in Eq. 3 (see Table I).
TABLE I
IMAGE OF: | DENSITY, D | ANGLE,A,FROM LENS AXIS |
Shadow on wall of distant white house,ph#1 | 0.025 +/- 0.03 (weighting factor= 1) | A = 17.6 deg. |
Same as above,ph#2 | 0.024 +/- 0.01 | 12.5 deg |
Sky near and above U0 | 0.061 +/- 0.01 | 0 deg |
Horizon in each photo | 0.43 to 0.46 (use 0.45 as avg) | 10 deg |
Bottom of UO in photo 1 | 0.315 +/- 0.001 | - |
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The atmospheric Extinction Coefficient (12 mile visibility from weather report), b = O.2/km.
The distance to white house across the Salmon River Parkway is about 360 meters
The focal length of the lens = 103 (+/-) 5 mm
The f# was probably about f/ll
The shutter time was probably 1/125
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Relative exposures or "total image brightnesses" have been calculated from
Ei = Eo {exp[2.303(Di/gamma - k/Di^3)]}/{Kcos^4(A)} (2)
where Ei is the image exposure, Di, is the measured density for
Di>0.1, Eo and k are constants that depend upon the film development
"constant," gamma. Table IV contains a listing of values
of E, and k for various values of gamma.
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The relation between image brightness, B, image exposure, Ei, and veiling glare on the image, Gi is
B = Ei - Gi (3)
The amount of veiling glare added to an image is proportional
to the brightness, Bs, surrounding the image: Gi = gi x
Bs, where values of gi for particular sizes and shapes
of images in particular surrounding brightness distributions
have been measured in the laboratory. With a brightness
distribution similar to that of the photos (bright above the
horizon, dark below the horizon), a laboratory simulation has
shown that, when a lens is sufficiently dirty to produce guo
~ 0.12, i.e., glare in the UO image is abou 12% of the surrounding
brightness, then g(distant house)~ 0·035 and g(horizon)
~ 0·05.
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Let the ratio of the brightness of a vertical, white, shaded
surface (the wall of a white house)to the brightness of a horizontal
white surface viewed from below(hypothetical UFO model with a
white paper bottom) be called Rb.
Field measurements show that 2.4 < Rb < 4.7. In
the calculations done here I have used Rg = 2.4 to be conservative.
Use of a larger Rb would result in calculated distances
greater than reported here.
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Atmospheric brightening formulas for range r (the formulas first
used by Hartmann) are:
(a) B(r=0) = intrinsic brightness = Bh + (B(r)-Bh) e^(br) (4)
(b) r = range = (1/b)Ln{[B(r=0)- Bh]/[B(r) - Bh]} (5)
where B(r) is the measured brightness at range r, Bh is the horizon
brightness and b is the atmospheric extinction coefficient.
To illustrate the photometric method I shall first summarize
Hartmann's analysis, and then I shall present a range calculation
based upon the simplified analysis. Hartmann pointed out
that the upper bright side of the object appears brighter than
the side of the nearby tank and that the elliptical shaded bottom
is the brightest shadow in either photo. He attributed
the excessive brightness of the bottom of the UO to atmospheric
brightening. (NOTE: the contrast between the brightness of an
object and that of the sky, assumed to be brighter than the object,
approaches zero as the distance to the object increases, i.e.,
the apparent brightness of the object increases until it matches
that of the sky at a great distance.) By definition the
intrinsic brightness of an object is the brightness measured
from a very short distance. By assuming the intrinsic brightness
of the bottom of the UO was the same as that of the shaded
bottom of the tank, and using the formula which attributes increased
brightness to atmospheric effects over a long distance (Equation
5 in Table 1), he estimated that the range to the object was
about 1.3 km, based on his estimate of b (0.289/km.).
(NOTE: all his brightnesses were normalized to the horizon
brightness so Bh = 1 in his version of Eq. 5). He then
pointed out that if the UO were nearby under the wires, the bottom
must have been very white, even brighter than the shaded white
surface of the distant house which appears near the bottom of
the photos.
I have modified Hartmann's analysis by assuming at the outset
that the bottom is as bright a surface as would have been available
to the photographers (white paper) without being itself a source
of light. (Note: the witnesses described the bottom as
being copper colored or darker than white. Use of a darker
bottom in the following analysis would result in a greater calculated
distance.) This assumption has led me to compare the relative
brightness of the bottom of the UO with the relative brightness
of a hypothetical nearby horizontal shaded white surface as seen
from below. The brightness that a horizontal white surface seen
from below would have had under the circumstances of the photo
has been estimated from the relative brightness of the vertical
shaded white surface of the distant house (and also from the
shaded white surface of the wall nearby Trent house) and from
the brightness ratio Rb in table 1.
If, in a naive way, the intrinsic brightness of a vertical white
shaded surface (house wall) is equated to the intrinsic brightness
of a horizontal white surface as seen from below (whereas the
horizontal surface actually may be somewhat less than half as
bright), that is, if Rb is set equal to 1 , and if the effects
of veiling glare are ignored (G in Eq. 3 is set equal to zero),
then the range of the UO can be calculated from Eq. 5 using as
B(r=O) the brightness of a nearby vertical shaded white surface
(the Hartmann method). The shaded wall of the distant house
was used by Hartmann to estimate the relative brightness of a
hypothetical nearby vertical surface (see the illustration labelled
"TrntWhteHouse.gif) by correcting the relative brightness
of the wall for atmospheric brightening using Eq. 4 (Table I).
If the object were hanging under the wires then, by this
(naive) reasoning, the brightness of the hypothetical nearby
vertical surface should equal the brightness of the bottom of
the UO, and Eq. 5 would yield r = 0. Such a result would
be consistent with the hoax hypothesis.
However, Hartmann found that the brightness of the image of the
bottom of the UO was actually greater than the brightness of
his hypothetical neaby vertical surface. Hartmann's calculation
is duplicated in Table II except that I have used b = 0.2/km
rather than 0.289/km. The table lists the pertinent relative
"brightnesses," Ei (uncorrected for glare), the correction
of the distant house wall "brightness" for atmospheric
brightening, and the range calculated from Eq. 5. The calculated
range, 1.4 km., agrees with Hartmann's result and is clearly
inconsistent with the nearby UO hypothesis.
TABLE II
Modified Hartmann method
Assume the bottom is white and use gamma = 0.6
Ehorizon = 0·039 (+/-) 0.002;
Edistant house shadow = 0.018 (+/-) 0.001;
Euo = 0.022 (+/-) 0.001 ;
Esky = 0.070 (+/-) 0.001.
Atmospheric Extinction Coefficient (based on visibiliy range): b = 0.2/km
Distance to White House: 0.36 km
Now use the measured brightness of the distant shaded vertical
white wall to obtain the brightness of a hypothetical nearby
white shaded surface by "removing" the atmospheric
brightening (Eq. 4 of Table I): 0.039 + (0.018 - 0.039)e^(0.2x0.36)
= 0.0164 (+ /-)0.001.
Now assume 0.0164 to be the intrinsic "brightness"
of the bottom of the UO and calculate its range:
r = (1/(0.2/km.) x Ln[(0.0164 - 0.039)/(0.022 - 0.039)]
= 1.42 (+/-) 0.6 kilometer.
Accurate calculations of object brightnesses require corrections
for veiling glare, as pointed out by Sheaffer. Since, in
the first approximation, the phenomenon (scattering) which produces
veiling glare simply adds light (from the brighter areas) to
the darker areas, it is only necessary to subtract the amount
of glare from an image to find the object brightness (Eq. 3).
The problem is to find the amount of glare on an image. After
some considerable thought and experimentation I found a way to
estimate the glare on the Trent photos using laboratory simulations.
In order to estimate amounts of glare on the images of interest
in these photos, I have conducted laboratory experiments with
several camera lenses, one of which was comparable (but not identical)
to the lens on the camera that took the photos. I simulated
the brightness distribution of the sky with a large screen which
was illuminated from behind. Below the simulated "horizon"
(the bottom of the bright area) there were no sources of light.
I then measured brightness distributions in the bright
and dark areas when there were varying amounts of grease on the
lens. (Measurements were made with a linear photodetector
and a small aperture that could be moved about in the focal plane
of the lens.) The light that "turned up" in·the
dark areas was the glare light, G, which would have appeared
on any images that might have been present in the dark areas
(although no such images were present in the laborstory simulation).
Values of G were proportional to the "sky" brightness,
Bs, so that at each point on the image plane a glare index, gi,
could be defined as gi = Gi/Bs. For the present work it
was important to have values of gi for images 2 degrees below
the horizon (the angle of the image of the distant house) and
for images at (or just below) the horizon, when the glare index
for an image of the angular size and shape of the elliptical
bottom of the UO was a particular value.
I carried out the experiments as follows. First I placed
an ellipse of dark paper with the angular size of the UO in photo
1 on the bright screen. I then put some dirt or grease
on the lens in order to increase the glare and measured the amount
of glare light at the center of the image of the dark ellipse.
This was defined as the "glare index" for a particular
amount of grease/dirt. I also measured brightness variations
in sumulations of other images in the photos with the same grease/dirt.
Of particular interest was the image of the large telephone
pole in Photo 1. Measurements of the brightness variation
of the image of the pole showed that below the horizon the image
was of a nearly constant brightness, and that above the horizon
the image increased in brightness as the angular altitude increased.
I attributed this increase in brightness to an increase
in the glare light added to the pole image (thus implicitly assuming
that the brightness of the pole was intrinsically constant from
its bottom to its top; however, I have observed that, probably
because of weathering, the brightness of many wooden telephone
poles increases with height along the pole; the result, in these
calculations, of my assumption of constant intrinsic brightness
is an overestimate of the actual glare and therefore an underestimate
of the calculated distance to the UO). I simulated the
pole image in the laboratory setup by placing s strip of black
paper of the same angular width and height as the pole on the
bright screen above the simulated horizon. I measured the
brightness of the image of the simulated pole on the focal plane
of the simulated camera. Since the paper was black and
the only illumination was from behind the paper the measurement
would have given zero brightness if there had been no glare.
However, by changing the amount of grease on the lens,
I was able to adjust the brightness of the simulated pole image;
the more grease the brighter then simulated image. Thus,
a distribution of values of gp along the pole image (glare on
the pole image vs height) was measured for each amount of grease.
Then the laboratory determined values of gp vs. altitude
alog the pole were multiplied by a value of Bs determined from
the sky brightness of Photo 1 to obtain the amounts of glare,
Gp, that would have been added to the actual pole image in Photo
1. By adjusting the amount of grease on the lens, I was
able to obtain a set of values of gp, that is, a graph of gp
vs height, which, when multiplied by the sky brightness of Photo
1, yielded a "theoretical" brightness increase that
was close to the increase in brightness of the actual pole image,
that is, the graph of pole image brightness vs height. (See
Figure A16 in the Appendix.) In other words, I was able
to approximately fit the laboratory data to the measured increase
in pole brightness. I then measured the glare index (the
glare in the simulated UO image as described above) for the same
amount of grease on the lens. I also measured the glare
below the horizon at the angular distance of the distant house
below the horizon. (Briefly, I used the pole glare distribution
in the photo to determine the amout of grease in a simulation
and then measured the UO glare in the simulation and calculated
from that the glare in the photo image of the UO.) The
amount of grease which yielded the most correct set of values
of gp for the pole image also yielded guo = 0.12 for the image
of the UO, and the other values of gi given in Table I. These
values have been used in the following analysis, even though
other measurements have strongly suggested that guo = 0.12 is
probably too high. (Typical values of veiling glare in
an image the angular size of the UO in Photo 1 would be less
than 0.09.) Moreover, measurements of the brightness variations
in certain other images in the photos suggest that guo = 0.12
is be too high (0.07 might be better). More details of
the result of the glare experments are presented in the Appendix
to this paper.
The effect of the inclusion of veiling glare is
readily apparent when it is applied to the image illuminances,
Ei, shown in Table II. For example, the horizon brightness
is found to be Eh - Gh = Eh - ghBs (where, from Table I, gh=
0.05) = 0.039 - (0·05)(0·07) = 0·0355. Similar
calculations yield the relative brightnesses given in Table III.
Note that in this first order theory the small loss of
brightness from the bright areas is ignored, so Esky = Bsky.
TABLE III
Relative Object Brightnesses with Esky = Bsky = 0.07:
Bhorizon = Eh - Gh = Eh - ghBs = 0.039 - (0.05)(0.07) = 0.0355;
Bdistant house shadow = 0.018 - (0.035)(0.07) = 0.0155.
After atmospheric distance correction,
Bnearby vertical shadow = 0.014;
Buo = 0.0136
CALCULATED DISTANCE = "ZERO"
From Table III one can observe that a major effect of the inclusion
of veiling glare is to make the brightness of the bottom of the
UO equal to (or slightly less than) the brightness of a vertical
shaded white surface. Naive use of Eq. 5 with B(r=0) =
0.014 and B(r) = Buo = 0.0136 would yield a range of zero (negative
numbers are not allowed), so Sheaffer's conjecture that the apparent
distance of the UO could be explained by veiling glare has merit.
(NOTE: If guo were 0.07 and the other values of gi were
proportionately lower, the range would not be zero but about
400 meters.)
If there were no other correction factors this would be the end
of the analysis. However, field measurements with a spot
photometer have shown that it is incorrect to equate the brightness
of a shaded vertical white wall with the brightness of a horizontal
surface as seen from below.
A shaded vertical wall which is on the order of ten feet above
the ground and which is not closely surrounded by trees is illuminated
by direct sky light as well as by light reflected from the ground.
On the other hand, the horizontal bottom surface of a body
which is less than ten feet above the ground is illuminated only
by light reflected from the ground. Since the ground reflectivity
is not particularly high (15-30% for grassy ground), one would
expect the illumination on the horizontal (or nearly horizontal)
bottom of an object to be less than that on the vertical surface.
Thus, from a priori reasoning one should not equate the
relative intrinsic brightness of a white shaded vertical surface
to the relative intrinsic brightness of a white shaded horizontal
surface seen from below. To provide a quantitative estimate
of the ratio of brightness of a vertical surface to a horizontal
surface, Rg, (see Table I) I made field measurements with a calibrated
panchromatic 3.5 degree field of view spot photometer. I
measured the brightness of the white wall of a house when the
wall was shaded by the eave and when the sun angle and sky conditions
were similar to those at the time of the UO photos. Under
the same environmental conditions, I measured the brightness
of an opaque white paper surface held about seven feet above
the ground. Many measurements of the surfaces were made
with the result that the house wall was found to be 1.5 to 2
"stops" (photographic terminology) brighter than the
bottom of the white surface, depending upon the exact nature
of the ground (grassy, dirt, etc.) and upon the sky brightness
distribution. Allowing a 1/4 stop possible error in the readings,
the brightnass ratio lay within the range 2^1.25 = 2.4 to 2^2.5
= 4.7 (see Table I). To be "conservative" I have
used Rb = 2.4 in these calculations. (NOTE: This
ratio was measured with panchromatic meter. If a filter
had been used to simulate the orthochromatic Verichrome spectral
response, the measured ratio might have been as much as 30% greater.)
The measured brightness of the bottom of the horizontal
surface did not change noticeably when the surface was tilted
by as much as 20 degrees.
From Table III the relative brightness of a nearby vertical white
shaded surface was 0.014. From the field measurements this
value should be divided by a number at least as great as 2.4
to obtain the relative brightness of a nearby horizontal white
shaded surface, which is assumed to be the brightness of the
bottom of the nearby UO. With Bh = 0.0355, Buo = B(r=0)
= 0.0136 (see Table III), with B(nearby horizontal surface viewed
from below) =·0.014/2·4 = 0.0058, and with b =
0.2 (Table I) the range calculation yields about 1.5 km.
Variations in the calculated range with variations in the parameters
of the range equation are as follows: (a) the calculated
range increases as the glare decreases; for example, if there
were no glare the range would be calculated from Euo = Buo =
B(r) = 0.022, Bh = 0.039, (from Table II) B(r=0) = 0.0164 /2.4
= 0.0068 and Eq. 5 would yield about 3.2 km.; (b) the calculated
range increases with increases in the ratio Rb; for example,
if Rb = 3, using the brightnesses in Table III and B(r=0)
= 0.014/3 = 0.00467, Eq. 5 yields arange of about 1.7 km.; (c)
the calculated range increases with gamma as indicated in Table
IV.
TABLE IV
gamma | Eo | k | Buo/B(r=0) | Range | Diameter* | Thickness** |
1.0 | 0.00436 | 0.0025 | 2.75 | 2.4 km | 68m | 9.6m |
0.7 | 0.0063 | 0.0017 | 2.60 | 1.5 | 44 | 6.2 |
0.6 | 0.0068 | 0.00055 | 2.34 | 1.52 | 43 | 6.1 |
0.5# | 0.0076 | 0.0002 | 2.18 | 1.06 | 30 | 4.2 |
0.3# | 0.0093 | 0.00009 | <1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
IF NEARBY UNDER THE OVERHEAD WIRES: 5m 14 cm 2 cm
*angular diameter in photo 1 is 0.0283 radians (in photo 2, 0.0248 radians) based on the assumed focal
length of 103 mm which is the approximate value for the cameras of the type used (assumed to be a
Kodak Monitor or Vigilant)
**angular thickness excluding "UO pole" in photo 2 is 0.004 rad. based on the 103 mm focal length
#curves for these values of gamma were synthesized by extrapolation from published curves·which
show gamma in the range 0.6 to 1.0. These results are included for completeness. However there is no evidence
at all that the gamma would have been lower than 0.6. In fact, it is more likely that gamma was greater
than 0.6. See note 11.
Table IV also contains a list of ratios of the
brightnesses of the bottom of the UO to the expected brightnesses
if the object were close and had a white bottom (the brightnesses
of a nearby horizontal shaded white surface). Since the
expected relative brightnesses were calculated using a white
surface (the distant house wall or the nearby house wall - see
Appendix) as a reference, the ratios imply that the bottom of
the UO was "brighter than white" whenever reasonable
values of gamma, i.e., gamma > 0.6, were used in the calculation.
White surfaces reflect most of the incident light (both
white paint and white paper have reflectivities in the range(6)
of 60-80%). If we assume, for example, that the white paint
on the distant (or nearby) house reflected only 60% of the incident
light, then a brightness ratio greater than 1/0.6 = 1.67 would
imply that, if the UO were a small nearby model. then its bottom
was a source of light (it could not reflect more light than 100%
of what was incident on it; 1.67 X 60% = 100%). As shown
in Table IV, for reasonable values of gamma the calculated ratio
Buo/B(r=0) exceeds 1.67 by a considerable margin. Actually
1.67 is an upper bound on the ratio if the distant house reflected
60% of the light because any white surface which the witnesses
would have available to place on the bottom of their hypothetical
nearby UO would have a reflectivity lower than 100%. If
the bottom were white paper, the reflectivity would be, at maximum,
about 80%, in which case the maximum expected ratio of the brightness
of the bottom to the expected brightness would be 0.8/0.6 = 1.33.
(NOTE: If the white painted surface were known or
assumed to be dirty, the reflectivity would be decreased and
the brightness ratio increased. For example, to obtain
the brightness ratio 2.34 which is obtained when gamma = 0.6
(see Table IV) with 80% reflective paper on the bottom of the
object, the distant wall reflectivity would have to be as low
as 0.8/2.34 = 0.34. On the other hand, measurements of
the image density of the shaded wall of the nearby Trent house,
after correction for veiling glare, yielded an upper bound on
the relative brightness of a shaded white vertical surface of
0.0171, which is only 0.0031 units higher than the value 0.014
in Table III. This house was reportedly painted in the
year previous to the sighting date, so the paint must have approached
its maximum reflectivity. Use of this value, after dividing by
2.4, with the other brightnesses in Table III yields a distance
of about 1.3 km, and a brightness ratio of 1.9, which is still
larger than 1.67 and 1.33.)
The implication of the brightness ratios for reasonable
values of gamma is that the bottom of the UO was itself a source
of light if it were nearby (e.g., within 20 feet under the wires).
To be a source of light it would have to have (a) contained
a source of light, or (b) been made of translucent materials
so that light could filter from the sky above through the bottom
surface. Requirement (a) is considered beyond the capabilities
of the photographer because a very small illumination apparatus
would have been required and because the illumination mechanism,
a small light bulb, would have produced a very uneven distribution
of light over the bottom surface in contradiction to the fact
that there are no "hot spots" of brightness in the
image of the bottom (see TrntDensUO1.gif and TrntDensUO2.gif).
Requirement (b) above is considered a possibility if the
upper body of the UO were a translucent material.(7) Any
holes through the upper body would allow direct sunlight through,
and these would cause brightness "hot spots" on the
bottom surface. On the other hand, a translucent or transparent
material such as glass would probably not "look" the
same in a side view as the object appears in photo 2 (apparently
shiny like the nearby tank, but not a mirror - like specular
surface). Any hypothetical translucent UO must appear,
in a side view, as bright and "shiny" as does the object
in photo 2 (also, it must be shown that an appropriately translucent
or transparent material in the proper shape was available to
the photographers).
Independent tests of the density distributions·of
the images of the object and its surround and of the density
distributions of nearby objects in the photos have been made
(8). Color contouring (using a computer to assign specific
colors to specific density ranges) has shown that (a) the "back"
end (left hand end in photo 1) of the object appears slightly
non-circular (actually it comes to a slight or shallow "point"),
and (b) the edges of the image are rough or jagged (the color
contour boundaries are not smooth curves), whereas the edges
of the images of nearby objects, and particularly of the wires
"above" the UO, are relatively smooth. Observation
(b) may be related to an atmospheric effect on images: the
distortion of an image increases quite rapidly as the object
distance increases up to about a kilometer, and then the distortion
increases very slowly or not at all with further increases in
range. The atmospheric conditions assumed for a hoax (morning,
no wind) may have been conducive to the production of image distortion.(9)
Thus, the jaggedness of the edge of the UO image may be an indication
that it was more than several hundred meters away, thus contradicing
the hoax hypothesis. (NOTE ADDED IN THE YEAR 2000: this was considered
a theoretical possibility 25 years ago. Now I consider
it unlikely that any edge fuzziness could be directly related
to distance.)